HK Stock To Gougoubi Prediction

---

name: hk-stock-to-gougoubi-prediction

description: Turn Hong Kong stock research into Gougoubi-ready prediction proposals with deterministic market wording, deadline selection, resolution rules, and tags. Use when users want to analyze 港股 and publish or prepare a Gougoubi prediction market from the result.

metadata: {"clawdbot":{"emoji":"🏦","os":["darwin","linux","win32"]}}

---

# HK Stock To Gougoubi Prediction

Use `hk-stock-predictor` to generate prediction candidates, then convert the best candidate into a Gougoubi-ready proposal and pass it to `gougoubi-create-prediction`.

Minimal Input

{
  "symbol": "00700",
  "horizon": "30d"
}

Theme-first input is also valid:

{
  "theme": "南向资金持续流入的港股通互联网龙头",
  "horizon": "14d"
}

Required Subskills

Use these skills in order:

1. `hk-stock-predictor`

2. `gougoubi-create-prediction`

If `hk-stock-predictor` is missing, do not continue to market creation. Ask the agent to perform the HK stock analysis workflow first.

Deterministic Workflow

1. Analyze the HK stock or theme.

- Run the `hk-stock-predictor` workflow.

- Collect `predictionCandidates` and `recommendedPrediction`.

2. Pick one prediction candidate.

- Prefer the recommended candidate unless it violates the filters below.

3. Validate prediction quality.

- Must be binary, range, event, or relative-performance.

- Must have a concrete deadline.

- Must have a public resolution source.

- Must not rely on subjective judgment.

4. Convert to Gougoubi proposal fields.

- `marketName`

- `deadlineIsoUtc`

- `rules`

- `tags`

5. Pass the resulting market to `gougoubi-create-prediction`.

- Minimal required user-facing fields remain `marketName` and `deadlineIsoUtc`.

- The rest of the content should be generated deterministically from the chosen prediction.

6. Return both layers of output.

- analysis summary

- chosen prediction

- Gougoubi payload

- create transaction result if submission is requested

Market Filters

Only create markets that satisfy all of these:

Do not create markets for:

Gougoubi Conversion Rules

1. `marketName`

Use a short title with one measurable claim.

Good:

2. `deadlineIsoUtc`

Choose the earliest deadline that still allows clean resolution:

Default timezone for rules: `Asia/Hong_Kong`, unless the data source clearly reports in another timezone.

3. `rules`

Rules must explicitly define:

Use this template:

Resolution source:
- Primary: [source]
- Fallback: [fallback source]

Resolution rule:
- This market resolves YES if [exact measurable condition].
- This market resolves NO otherwise.

Measurement details:
- Timezone: Asia/Hong_Kong
- Observation time: [exact time or reporting event]
- Metric: [close price / YoY growth / index-relative return / etc.]
- Tie handling: equality resolves [YES or NO], as stated in market title interpretation.

4. `tags`

Always include:

Examples:

Output Schema

{
  "ok": true,
  "analysis": {
    "symbol": "00700",
    "companyName": "Tencent Holdings",
    "recommendedPrediction": {
      "title": "",
      "deadlineIsoUtc": "",
      "confidence": 0
    }
  },
  "gougoubiPayload": {
    "marketName": "",
    "deadlineIsoUtc": "",
    "rules": "",
    "tags": []
  },
  "createInput": {
    "marketName": "",
    "deadlineIsoUtc": ""
  },
  "createResult": null,
  "warnings": []
}

Response Format

# 港股到 Gougoubi 预测题

## 标的结论
- 标的:
- 核心判断:
- 时间窗口:

## 选中的预测题
- 题目:
- 截止时间:
- 置信度:
- 公开裁决来源:

## Gougoubi 参数
- marketName:
- deadlineIsoUtc:
- tags:

## 规则草案
[rules text]

## 提交结果
- status:
- txHash:
- proposalAddress:

Boundaries

Additional Resource